We’re by Week 10 of the 2025 NFL common season, and whereas the 2026 draft continues to be months away, it is by no means too early to check out the projected first-round draft order for all 32 groups — utilizing ESPN’s Soccer Energy Index (FPI).
Every week through the season, ESPN’s FPI initiatives the draft order by simulating the rest of the season 10,000 occasions. Recreation chances are primarily based totally on the mannequin’s crew rankings and sport areas. The draft order is set by the information the mannequin initiatives for every crew after 17 video games, in addition to every crew’s common draft place throughout the simulations.
Our FPI predictions are presently giving the Titans the primary choose in back-to-back years, however who’s behind them within the high 10? The place might groups with two first-round picks — together with the Jets after the Sauce Gardner commerce — find yourself choosing? Take a look at our full projections beneath forward of Week 11.
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Common draft place: 2.9
FPI probability to earn No. 1 choose: 36.6%
FPI probability to earn top-five choose: 87.3%
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 99.0%
Common draft place: 3.4
FPI probability to earn No. 1 choose: 26.9%
FPI probability to earn top-five choose: 82.6%
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 97.8%
Common draft place: 4.5
FPI probability to earn No. 1 choose: 13.3%
FPI probability to earn top-five choose: 69.2%
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 95.7%
Common draft place: 5.0
FPI probability to earn No. 1 choose: 9.7%
FPI probability to earn top-five choose: 63.3%
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 93.6%
Common draft place: 5.7
FPI probability to earn No. 1 choose: 7.0%
FPI probability to earn top-five choose: 54.1%
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 89.8%
Common draft place: 7.4
FPI probability to earn top-five choose: 33.9%
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 79.1%
Common draft place: 8.3
FPI probability to earn top-five choose: 25.4%
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 72.9%
Common draft place: 8.5
FPI probability to earn top-five choose: 23.9%
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 70.4%
Common draft place: 10.1
FPI probability to earn top-five choose: 14.3%
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 55.0%
Common draft place: 10.3
FPI probability to earn top-five choose: 16.0%
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 58.3%
Common draft place: 10.7
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 49.4%
Common draft place: 11.8
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 40.0%
Common draft place: 12.4
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 35.0%
Common draft place: 13.1
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 29.9%
Common draft place: 16.0
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 11.5%
Common draft place: 17.9
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 6.8%
Common draft place: 18.2
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 5.1%
Common draft place: 18.9
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 3.6%
Common draft place: 20.5
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 4.6%
Common draft place: 22.0
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 1.1%
Common draft place: 23.5
Common draft place: 23.7
Common draft place: 24.0
Common draft place: 24.1
Common draft place: 24.2
Common draft place: 24.9
Common draft place: 25.1
Common draft place: 25.1
Common draft place: 25.2
Common draft place: 26.9
Common draft place: 26.7
Common draft place: 27.1