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Home»Sports»NBA free agent rankings – Futures of LeBron, Turner, extra stars
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NBA free agent rankings – Futures of LeBron, Turner, extra stars

AdminBy AdminMay 26, 2025No Comments18 Mins Read
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NBA free agent rankings - Futures of LeBron, Turner, more stars
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  • Kevin PeltonMight 25, 2025, 08:00 AM ET

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    • Co-author, Professional Basketball Prospectus sequence
    • Previously a marketing consultant with the Indiana Pacers
    • Developed WARP ranking and SCHOENE system

NBA free company will not be the marquee a part of this summer season’s offseason. A sequence of extensions have taken among the largest potential names off the market, together with Jimmy Butler III, who prolonged after being traded to the Golden State Warriors on the deadline.

There are a handful of all-time greats who can turn into free brokers relying on participant choices, led by LeBron James. However these gamers, together with fellow former MVP James Harden and nine-time All-Star Kyrie Irving, have already got made their solution to desired locations and are unlikely to vary groups.

The mix of extensions and contract will increase outpacing the wage cap’s modest development in recent times additionally means few groups could have cap house accessible. As ESPN’s Bobby Marks has been monitoring, solely the rebuilding Brooklyn Nets could have max-level cap house, and it is potential no different crew can spend appreciably greater than the non-taxpayer midlevel exception (projected at $14 million).

Nonetheless, groups could have the flexibility to fill wants with focused free agent signings. Final summer season, the Detroit Pistons nabbed Malik Beasley on a one-year, $6 million deal and watched him end second in Sixth Man of the 12 months voting as a part of their playoff return. Simply behind Beasley within the voting was Ty Jerome of the Cavaliers, added in free company for simply over the minimal previous to his breakout that was key to Cleveland ending atop the Japanese Convention. Each gamers are amongst a deep group of top-tier reserves or lower-end starters who will outline this summer season’s free company interval, which formally begins June 30 at 6 p.m. ET.

Let’s run by means of my prime 25 gamers, cut up into tiers primarily based on their standing and availability, with a particular deal with a handful of key free brokers reminiscent of Jerome who realistically may very well be on the transfer this summer season.


Tier 1: All-Stars with choices unlikely to maneuver

1. LeBron James
Los Angeles Lakers | F
Participant possibility

A participant possibility offers each James and the Lakers monetary flexibility this summer season. After taking barely lower than the max final offseason to assist the Lakers keep away from second-apron restrictions, James may re-sign for extra by declining his $52.6 million participant possibility. On the flip aspect, one other James low cost may permit the Lakers entry to their non-taxpayer midlevel exception in the event that they wish to goal a beginning large man. Nonetheless a simple All-NBA choose at age 40, James clearly stays the highest free agent available on the market, having led these rankings in (deep breath) 2010, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2018 and final yr.

2. James Harden
LA Clippers | PG
Participant possibility

The opposite potential free agent who earned All-NBA honors, Harden additionally signed a “one plus one” deal final summer season with a participant possibility on the second season. He has an opportunity to extend his wage after signing for significantly lower than the max. Harden’s participant possibility would pay him $36.3 million. Alternatively, Harden, 35, may decline the choice in pursuit of an extended cope with a decrease beginning wage that might preserve him beneath contract by means of his late 30s. Both means, Harden appears certain to stay with the Clippers after discovering his means house to L.A. and main an overachieving effort within the common season.

3. Kyrie Irving
Dallas Mavericks | PG
Participant possibility

Irving appeared in line to enhance his $43 million participant possibility on a long-term deal earlier than struggling a left ACL tear in March that difficult his fast future. Given Irving will seemingly miss the majority of the 2025-26 common season, it is potential he may simply train the participant possibility and revisit negotiations as soon as wholesome. Alternatively, the Mavericks may nonetheless decide to Irving after normal supervisor Nico Harrison made his paramount significance clear within the wake of the Luka Doncic commerce. Earlier than the damage, Irving was enjoying in addition to ever, and at 33, he’s a bit youthful than the opposite two All-Stars forward of him on this listing.

4. Julius Randle
Minnesota Timberwolves | PF
Participant possibility

After some early rising pains, Randle’s robust near the common season and his monster first two playoff rounds had been key to the Timberwolves returning to the Western Convention finals. Wrapping up an extension he signed with the New York Knicks in 2021, Randle has a $29.5 million participant possibility that he has outperformed. Minnesota and Randle have a number of choices for the right way to deal with it. He may decline the choice and signal a long-term deal in free company or train it together with one other extension, which might give the Timberwolves extra spending energy as they cope with two different free brokers in my prime 25 (Nickeil Alexander-Walker and Naz Reid).

5. Fred VanVleet
Houston Rockets | PG
Group possibility

Not like the opposite gamers on this tier, VanVleet’s possibility yr is on the Rockets’ discretion as a part of a three-year max deal he signed with Houston two summers in the past. Given how effectively VanVleet has match with a Rockets crew that earned the No. 2 seed within the West, declining the choice and letting him stroll would make no sense. With the posh tax turning into an element, nevertheless, Houston may wish to exchange VanVleet’s $44.9 million possibility with a smaller beginning wage on a longer-term contract for the 31-year-old level guard.


Tier 2: Confirmed starter in his prime

6. Myles Turner
Indiana Pacers | C
Unrestricted free agent

Here is the place this yr’s free company actually comes up quick. Turner is arguably the one high quality starter accessible who has by no means been an All-Star, and he’s nonetheless in the course of his profession, at age 29. Turner’s indispensable function for an Indiana crew that has reached the previous two convention finals offers him vital leverage as an unrestricted free agent.

“With how the playoffs have gone,” a scout mentioned, “he is cemented his place there. They simply do not have a substitute for him.”

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The Pacers will wish to watch out with Turner’s beginning wage. Indiana will enter free company about $20 million from the projected luxurious tax line with 12 gamers beneath contract, and Turner ought to command greater than that after making $19.9 million this season.

Attainable matches: Turner has featured in commerce rumors so lengthy that he has been linked to only about each crew in want of a beginning middle. An indication-and-trade can be difficult for the Warriors and the Lakers, however each franchises are clear matches within the unlikely occasion the Pacers and Turner cannot strike a deal.


Tier 3: Starter-caliber RFAs

7. Josh Giddey
Chicago Bulls | PG
Restricted free agent

After the Bulls traded Zach LaVine, Giddey was unimaginable statistically following the All-Star break, averaging 21.2 factors, 10.7 rebounds and 9.3 assists per recreation whereas capturing 50% from the sphere and 46% on 3s. (Though that stage of 3-point capturing seemingly is not sustainable, Giddey hit a career-high 38% for the common season, altering how opponents defend him.)

Not 23 till October, Giddey has time to proceed growing his recreation to the purpose the place he could make a much bigger playoff affect than we noticed with the Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder in the course of the 2024 playoffs. As a result of few groups have cap house, Chicago ought to have leverage in negotiations. Whether or not the Bulls use it’s one other query.

8. Quentin Grimes
Philadelphia 76ers | G/F
Restricted free agent

Like Giddey, Grimes jumped after the All-Star break, on this case due to a commerce to a Sixers crew enjoying with out stars Paul George, Joel Embiid and Tyrese Maxey on account of accidents. Grimes averaged 21.9 PPG on robust effectivity (.592 true capturing share) in 28 video games with Philadelphia, plus 4.5 APG and 5.2 RPG. Philadelphia shifting as much as No. 3 within the draft lottery difficult the crew’s capability to re-sign Grimes with out pushing into the second apron. Together with choices and non-guarantees, the 76ers will enter free company across the luxurious tax line earlier than re-signing Grimes or fellow restricted free agent Guerschon Yabusele.

Attainable matches: May Grimes be a goal for the Nets? At 25, he is younger sufficient to be a part of the following aggressive Brooklyn crew. If not the Nets, Grimes’ market would both be on the non-taxpayer midlevel or through a sign-and-trade deal. For instance, relying on how rapidly the Charlotte Hornets wish to enhance, Grimes can be an enormous improve.

9. Jonathan Kuminga
Golden State Warriors | F
Restricted free agent

After beginning the playoffs out of coach Steve Kerr’s rotation, Kuminga grew to become a key participant with Stephen Curry sidelined in opposition to the Timberwolves within the second spherical. Kuminga averaged 24.3 PPG over the sequence’ last 4 video games, capturing 55% from the sphere.

The Minnesota Timberwolves tackle the Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder for the fitting to symbolize the Western Convention within the 2025 NBA Finals.

Recreation 1: Thunder 114, Timberwolves 88
Recreation 2: Thunder 118, Timberwolves 103
Recreation 3: Saturday at MIN, 8:30 p.m. (ABC)
Recreation 4: Monday at MIN, 8:30 p.m.
Recreation 5*: Wednesday at OKC, 8:30 p.m.
Recreation 6*: Friday at MIN, 8:30 p.m.
Recreation 7*: June 1 at OKC, 8:30 p.m.

All instances Japanese

• Extra NBA playoffs: Schedule, scores

At 22, Kuminga ought to turn into a extra constant contributor over time. However that is in all probability extra seemingly with a crew in addition to the Warriors given the best way Kuminga’s talent set overlaps with these of Butler and Draymond Inexperienced. And it is potential Golden State may very well be open to a sign-and-trade deal to rebalance the roster. “The most effective factor that occurs to him is that if they sign-and-trade him,” one scout mentioned.

Attainable matches: As with each restricted free agent, Brooklyn looms massive. If the Nets consider in Kuminga, they’ve the flexibility to form their roster round him. The Bulls may attempt to put collectively a sign-and-trade, maybe sending Nikola Vucevic to the Warriors and inserting Kuminga in a task just like the one DeMar DeRozan as soon as performed within the Windy Metropolis.

10. Keon Ellis
Sacramento Kings | G
Group possibility

Ellis averaged simply 8.3 PPG this previous season (a profession excessive) however was quietly a favourite of superior stats because of his 3-point capturing (43% on 5.9 makes an attempt per 36 minutes) and powerful inventory charge (2.2 steals and 1.2 blocks per 36). A daily starter late within the season with Malik Monk sidelined, Ellis averaged 28.2 minutes per recreation after the All-Star break and was Sacramento’s main point-of-attack defender. The Kings maintain a $2.3 million crew possibility for Ellis however may wish to decline it so he’ll be a restricted free agent moderately than unrestricted in 2026.


Tier 4: Getting older starters

11. Dorian Finney-Smith
Los Angeles Lakers | F
Participant possibility

At 32, Finney-Smith is younger for this tier however not fairly a match alongside Turner as one of many prime unrestricted free brokers. Though Finney-Smith got here off the bench in additional than half of his video games with the Lakers following a December commerce, he nonetheless averaged starter’s minutes (28.8 per recreation) and was inconceivable for coach JJ Redick to take off the courtroom within the playoffs. The Lakers can be hard-pressed to switch Finney-Smith and can wish to determine a long-term contract, maybe having him decline a $15.4 million participant possibility in favor of a smaller beginning wage that ensures him a number of years.

12. Brook Lopez
Milwaukee Bucks | C
Unrestricted free agent

Having turned 37 in April, Lopez has slowed as a rim protector, an element within the Bucks taking him out of the beginning lineup for the primary time since March 2022 throughout Recreation 5 of their first-round loss to the Pacers. However his 31.8 MPG within the common season had been his most in practically a decade, and Lopez missed simply two video games all season whereas capturing his ordinary 37% from 3-point vary. If Milwaukee strikes on for monetary causes, Lopez ought to have a robust midlevel market. Scouts anticipate some regression from Lopez however nonetheless see a succesful beginning middle in most matchups.

Attainable matches: If the Pelicans are attempting to win now and dedicated to Zion Williamson — two large ifs — Lopez can be a super frontcourt companion and take stress to carry out off growing facilities Yves Missi and Karlo Matkovic. The Warriors may attempt to deliver the previous Stanford large man again to the Bay Space, both through sign-and-trade or opening up their nontaxpayer midlevel.

13. Chris Paul
San Antonio Spurs | PG
Unrestricted free agent

Paul, at age 39, was one in every of six NBA gamers to begin all 82 video games this previous season. (He has since turned 40.) Though Paul’s 8.8 PPG had been a profession low, he nonetheless ranked within the 82nd percentile in factors per direct probability amongst gamers who acquired a minimum of 1,000 on-ball screens, in accordance with GeniusIQ monitoring. With the Spurs seemingly so as to add one other ball handler in Rutgers guard Dylan Harper with the No. 2 draft choose, Paul could be on the transfer once more this summer season.

14. Al Horford
Boston Celtics | F/C
Unrestricted free agent

Approaching his thirty ninth birthday, Horford stays a linchpin for the Celtics along with his versatility at each ends. Horford’s enjoying time went up this season to 27.7 MPG — and 31.6 within the playoffs — although Boston protected him with copious off video games. The largest query is how lengthy Horford needs to play. “For me, it is simply too quickly to speak about that,” he mentioned at exit interviews after the Celtics had been upset by the Knicks within the second spherical. “I will take a while right here with my spouse, with my youngsters, and simply that. It hasn’t even been a day. So, there’s nonetheless rather a lot for me to course of.”


Tier 5: High reserves and fringe starters

15. Ty Jerome
Cleveland Cavaliers | G
Unrestricted free agent

Having averaged double-figure scoring simply as soon as in his first 5 NBA seasons for a rebuilding Thunder crew, Jerome got here largely out of nowhere to complete third in Sixth Man of the 12 months voting. Jerome averaged 12.5 PPG in simply 19.9 minutes, coming near 50-40-90 capturing. (He fell quick by 4 missed free throws, in 148 makes an attempt, ending at 87%.) Jerome then scored 28 factors in Cleveland’s playoff opener earlier than his fortunes modified in Spherical 2 in a key function with Darius Garland sidelined to start the sequence.

From the play-in event to the NBA Finals, ESPN has you coated all through the postseason.

• Convention finals: Preview | Picks
• MacMahon: Inside OKC’s stifling protection
• Paine: What’s within the stars for conf. finals?
• McMenamin: Evolution of Anthony Edwards
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Jerome shot 30% from the sphere and 4-of-16 on 3s in opposition to the Pacers, falling to the fringes of coach Kenny Atkinson’s rotation.

With the Cavaliers in a cap crunch, re-signing Jerome won’t be a precedence. Jerome, within the eyes of scouts, unquestionably will get a hefty increase from the $2.5 million he made this season.

Attainable matches: Jerome may very well be a price addition for a crew in want of offense. I notably like the concept of the Orlando Magic making a run at Jerome in the event that they’re capable of transfer backup level guard Cole Anthony. Relying on how Harden’s participant possibility works out, the Clippers may make the most of their non-tax midlevel on Jerome.

16. Malik Beasley
Detroit Pistons | SG
Unrestricted free agent

After enjoying on smaller, one-year contracts over the previous two seasons, Beasley has earned a increase. He completed second in Sixth Man of the 12 months voting by becoming a member of Curry, Harden, Anthony Edwards and Klay Thompson because the fifth participant in NBA historical past to make 300 3-pointers in a season. Now that Cade Cunningham has triggered a 30% max extension by being named an All-NBAer, the Pistons seemingly will not have cap house to make use of for re-signing Beasley, which in all probability will restrict them to the non-tax midlevel as a place to begin for a brand new deal. However few groups have the cap house to beat that supply. He’s anticipated to get a increase on the $6 million he made this previous season.

17. Naz Reid
Minnesota Timberwolves | F/C
Participant possibility

A yr faraway from being named Sixth Man of the 12 months, Reid truly averaged extra factors, rebounds and assists this season, albeit on barely weaker effectivity. Reid has had a significant affect as a 3rd large man, however he in all probability can be stretched defensively as a starter. That and the dearth of cap house ought to assist the Timberwolves navigate Reid’s $15 million participant possibility. The edges may conform to train the choice then construct a long-term extension off it to maintain the fan favourite in Minnesota.

18. Caris LeVert
Atlanta Hawks | G/F
Unrestricted free agent

After enjoying a smaller function in Cleveland this previous season due partially to Jerome’s emergence, LeVert was dealt to Atlanta in February because the Cavaliers added De’Andre Hunter on the deadline. LeVert was productive for the Hawks as they reached the play-in event, averaging 14.9 PPG and ending with far and away the very best true capturing share (.582) of his profession. LeVert additionally has developed into a top quality perimeter defender, utilizing his size at 6-foot-6.

19. Gary Trent Jr.
Milwaukee Bucks | G/F
Unrestricted free agent

Trent tried to observe Beasley’s lead, taking a minimal cope with the Bucks after discovering his market restricted in free company. Trent was dreadful because the Bucks began slowly and misplaced his beginning job, however he rebounded to shoot 42% on 3s whereas making an attempt 8.2 per 36 minutes. Trent then went for 30-plus factors twice within the first spherical in opposition to the Pacers, making a mixed 17 treys in these video games. At 26, Trent is squarely in his prime, and a few crew ought to discover the joyful medium between the $18.6 million he made with the Toronto Raptors and this previous season’s minimal deal.

20. Santi Aldama
Memphis Grizzlies | F
Restricted free agent

Enjoying each ahead spots, Aldama averaged profession highs in factors (12.5), rebounds (6.4) and assists (29.9) primarily off the bench this previous season. He shot a career-high 37% from 3-point vary and 60% contained in the arc. Aldama may prime out as a 3rd ahead, however he has earned a extra profitable contract after making $10 million complete on his four-year rookie deal as the ultimate first-round choose in 2021.

21. Nickeil Alexander-Walker
Minnesota Timberwolves | G
Unrestricted free agent

A screaming worth on a two-year, $9 million deal signed as a restricted free agent two years in the past, Alexander-Walker is in line for an enormous increase. He averaged a career-high 25.3 MPG because the Timberwolves’ third guard, defending lead ball handlers and capturing 38% from 3-point vary. Alexander-Walker is not fairly ok as a distributor to function a full-time level guard, and he has slumped past the arc within the playoffs, however he ought to greater than double his earlier wage.

22. Chris Boucher
Toronto Raptors | F
Unrestricted free agent

Boucher quietly bounced again from a down 2023-24 marketing campaign to common double-figure scoring for the second time in his profession whereas enjoying simply 17.2 MPG. He shot 36% on 3s and 63% on 2s in producing elite effectivity whereas additionally proving able to defending on the wing in large second-unit lineups. At 32, he in all probability belongs on a contending crew, however Boucher, who went to highschool in Quebec, is at house with the Raptors because the lone remaining participant from the 2019 title crew.

23. Tim Hardaway Jr.
Detroit Pistons | G/F
Unrestricted free agent

Regardless of beginning all 77 video games he performed, Hardaway absolutely wasn’t as necessary to Detroit’s shock playoff season as Beasley was off the bench. Hardaway’s effectivity was solely common within the smallest utilization charge (15.5%) of his profession. Nonetheless, Hardaway was a dependable veteran able to toggling forwards and backwards between the wing spots, and the Pistons appear more likely to reward him with a brand new contract.

24. Dennis Schroder
Detroit Pistons | G
Unrestricted free agent

An atypical season noticed Schroder common double figures for 3 completely different groups. He began the marketing campaign on hearth for the Nets, making 39% of his 3s, and completed enjoying an necessary reserve function for the Pistons within the playoffs. In between, Schroder proved a poor match for the Warriors’ motion-based offense. Having performed for 9 groups in 12 NBA seasons, Schroder may very well be on the transfer once more if Detroit appears like Jaden Ivey’s return means much less want for ballhandling off the bench.

25. Tyus Jones
Phoenix Suns | PG
Unrestricted free agent

Including Jones on a minimal contract did not show the coup the Suns had hoped for final summer season. He produced as anticipated, capturing 41% on 3-pointers and posting his ordinary excessive assist-to-turnover (4.7), but he could not assist Phoenix’s offense ship on its potential. For all their expertise, the Suns had been barely higher than league common in offensive ranking, and Jones began simply 4 video games after the All-Star break. He may must signal one other short-term contract to rebuild his worth. One attention-grabbing possibility: May Jones return to his hometown Timberwolves if Alexander-Walker heads elsewhere?

ESPN’s Tim Bontemps contributed to this story.

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