Throughout the 2024 season, the Chicago White Sox misplaced a contemporary MLB report 121 video games — a masterpiece of baseball schadenfreude that no dwelling individual had ever seen earlier than. Bettors delighted in commonly fading these White Sox and profited handsomely.
But, only one season later, one other franchise is giving these White Sox (nonetheless close to the underside of the MLB barrel themselves) a run at historical past. Via 50 video games, the Colorado Rockies are an astounding 8-42. That is a .160 successful proportion that places them on tempo to win solely 26 video games and lose 136, breaking the fashionable MLB loss report set lower than a yr in the past.
And as with the 2024 White Sox, bettors are fading the 2025 Rockies en masse and avoiding backing them in any respect prices.
ESPN BET reviews that Colorado has attracted the least moneyline bets of any MLB group this season, whereas the group enjoying in opposition to the Rockies are a top-three most-bet group on nearly any given day. For Colorado’s most up-to-date sequence with the Philadelphia Phillies, the visiting Phillies had been the sportsbook’s most-backed MLB group of the day in three of these 4 video games and the second-most backed within the different.
The Phillies ended up handing the Rockies yet one more sequence sweep, and issues will not be getting higher for the Denver-based squad anytime quickly, as they’re going to face a gauntlet of the New York Yankees, Chicago Cubs and New York Mets over their subsequent three sequence.
“We’d like the Rockies every day,” Caesars Sportsbook lead MLB dealer Eric Biggio instructed ESPN. “Particularly in the event that they’re in a standalone spot the place there’s not a lot different stuff happening, we’ve got to essentially push the worth out to stage to get any type of cash on the Rockies.”
Since reaching a major-league-long odds of -400 on Could 4 on the highway in opposition to the San Francisco Giants, bookmakers have routinely handicapped the Rockies’ opponents within the -300 vary, however to utterly no avail.
The fades on Colorado hold flowing and for good purpose. Even because the group attracts massive plus-odds every evening, a $100 bettor would nonetheless be down $2,701, in accordance with Covers.com. Thus, betting in opposition to them every evening turns into a viable technique for bettors and a terror for sportsbooks.
“This turns into a bookmaker’s nightmare if this continues to go on for an entire yr, as a result of there’s nothing we will do about it,” DraftKings head of sportsbook Johnny Avello mentioned. “We will elevate the worth, however that is not going to cease anybody if the groups are that unhealthy.”
Even on the highway, the Yankees are laying -300 on the moneyline and even a really uncommon -3.5 run line on Friday evening, in accordance with ESPN BET traces. Avello notes his e book is routinely rising above the usual -1.5 run line given how poor this Rockies group has been. By DraftKings spreads, Colorado is an MLB-worst 16-34 in opposition to the run line, even after being underdogs in each single sport.
Given the lengthy moneylines, bettors are beginning to get inventive with how they fade the Rockies. Coors Discipline has lengthy been a infamous hitter’s park as a result of Denver’s altitude, making it a transparent goal for overs on the overall. Nevertheless, with the 2025 Rockies being very lackluster on either side of the ball, bettors are numerous runs for simply the away group.
“The folks acknowledge, ‘Hey, the Rockies aren’t scoring a lot, the opposing group is,’ so that they’re betting the Rockies group complete underneath and the opponent over,” mentioned Biggio. “It is not rocket science, however it’s turning right into a type of massive resolution on high of the traditional markets for baseball.”
This actually got here to a head on Could 10, when the San Diego Padres got here to city and defeated Colorado by a ridiculous rating of 21-0. Biggio says that the subsequent day, bettors flooded the market, backing the Padres on the moneyline, run line and group complete.
Nevertheless, then one thing outstanding occurred: The Rockies gained 9-3, their seventh win of the season. Biggio says it was an enormous win for the e book, equal to an “NFL Sunday type of resolution.”
“Groups enjoying the Rockies are commonly among the many most-bet MLB groups of the day on each the moneyline and run line, so the uncommon Rockies win is one thing of a vibrant spot,” ESPN BET director of North American sports activities buying and selling Adrian Horton mentioned over e-mail. “Nevertheless, these wins do not outweigh the nice days for bettors taking whoever is enjoying in opposition to Colorado.”
Barring an enormous turnaround for Colorado, the books are seemingly making some a reimbursement on season win complete. Earlier than the marketing campaign, sportsbooks set the Rockies’ win complete at a consensus 59.5. That is low, however notably greater than the White Sox’ traditionally low 53.5. Caesars and DraftKings each report {that a} majority of cash was on the over, citing preseason optimism and common bettor conduct that gravitates to the over.
Since then, books have been persistently dropping that complete all through the season, and it at present stands at 39.5 headed into the weekend sequence with the Yankees. Biggio says it is the lowest in-season win complete he is ever seen.
Throughout the present monster stretch of the Rockies’ schedule, sportsbooks aren’t prone to get a lot respite from the beatings they’re taking every day. Nevertheless, there’s presumably some aid on the horizon. Following this robust part, Colorado will get the NL East bottom-dwelling Miami Marlins and, for July 4th weekend, the Rockies will tackle the White Sox in what needs to be one of the crucial unusually anticipated matchups of the season.
“These costs are already uncontrolled so far as what it’s important to lay to win to win a greenback, so that will not cease betters from both betting [their opponents] straight or parlaying them,” mentioned Avello. “We now have to simply climate this storm, although. We will modify costs, however we simply have to attend for a time when possibly they get on monitor somewhat bit and win a number of video games.”
