Wimbledon’s arrival on the tennis calendar means very various things on the lads’s and ladies’s sides of the tour.
For the lads, Wimbledon represents in all probability probably the most predictable of all Slams. Prior to now 20 years, solely 12 gamers have reached the gents’s ultimate. Roger Federer and Novak Djokovic accounted for greater than half of these 40 spots within the finals by themselves, and Djokovic has made the previous six finals, profitable 4 and dropping the previous two to Carlos Alcaraz. Alcaraz, in the meantime, has gained the previous 4 Slams on pure surfaces (clay or grass). In case you simply wish to pencil him into the finals already, it is rational.
On the ladies’s aspect, nevertheless, issues are far totally different. Regardless of a reasonably clear hierarchy forming atop the ladies’s tour — Iga Swiatek, Aryna Sabalenka and Coco Gauff have gained 9 of the previous 10 Slams on exhausting courts or clay — seven totally different girls have gained the previous seven Wimbledon titles. The previous 4 years on the All England Garden Tennis and Croquet Membership have given us 13 totally different semifinalists. Grass is the last word signal of greatness for the lads and a random-outcome generator for the ladies.
Due to this fact, the 2025 version of this storied match provides us fairly a number of fairly apparent storylines. Alcaraz, Djokovic and world No. 1 Jannik Sinner are the runaway favorites within the males’s draw, however with each Sabalenka and Gauff dealing with robust attracts and the randomness grass offers, it is anybody’s guess how the ladies’s match will play out. Let’s stroll by the gamers probably to make huge runs and/or outline the 2025 Wimbledon fortnight.
The favorites
Carlos Alcaraz
ESPN BET odds: +125 | Tennis Summary odds: 54.2%
First potential top-10 opponent: No. 8 Holger Rune (quarterfinals)
Contemporary off of a win in the most effective Slam ultimate of the 2020s — his epic comeback over Sinner on the French Open — Alcaraz cruised by his lone grass-court tuneup, beating Jiri Lehecka to win at Queen’s Membership every week in the past.
It is unfair to match any youthful participant to the usual of the Huge Three (Federer, Djokovic, Rafael Nadal), who every gained not less than 20 Slams and who genuinely is perhaps the three greatest males’s gamers of all time. However Alcaraz is making it inconceivable to keep away from these comparisons. Nadal gained 4 Slam titles earlier than his twenty second birthday, whereas Djokovic and Federer had every gained just one. Alcaraz gained his fifth a month after turning 22. He does not boast Sinner’s relentless consistency, however as he proved within the later units towards Sinner in Paris, his A-game and uncooked upside are unmatched. His potential to adapt and improvise in distinctive circumstances may make him the favourite of each French Open or Wimbledon he enters for the subsequent decade.
Jannik Sinner
ESPN BET odds: +190 | Tennis Summary odds: 6.6%
First potential top-10 opponent: No. 7 Lorenzo Musetti (quarterfinals)
Since mid-August, Sinner is 48-4 — 0-3 towards Alcaraz and 48-1 towards everybody else. He misplaced in three units to the torrid Alexander Bublik every week in the past in Halle, Germany, and is much much less confirmed on grass than different surfaces, although he reached the Wimbledon semis in 2023. Sinner is comfortably the most effective hard-court participant on the earth — he swept Djokovic on the way in which to the French Open ultimate — and he simply appears to get higher in each match he enters.
Sinner’s draw is a problem. Even earlier than probably assembly Djokovic on the GOAT’s greatest floor within the semis (and, presumably, Alcaraz within the ultimate), he may face 2021 semifinalist Denis Shapovalov within the third spherical, 2024 quarterfinalist Tommy Paul or 2014 semifinalist Grigor Dimitrov within the fourth spherical and 2024 semifinalist Lorenzo Musetti or big-serving Ben Shelton within the quarterfinals. He will not have a lot time to seek out fifth gear, however it’s exhausting to choose towards him making an enormous run.
Aryna Sabalenka
ESPN BET odds: +240 | Tennis Summary odds: 19.3%
First potential top-10 opponent: No. 6 Madison Keys or No. 9 Paula Badosa (quarterfinals)
The one factor Sabalenka has lacked in 2025 is a superb ultimate act. She has reached the finals in seven of 10 tournaments she has entered, however has misplaced 4 of her previous six finals, together with the Australian Open towards Keys and the French Open towards Gauff. (And regardless of the additional apply, her post-final concession speeches may use a bit extra work.)
She has reached the semis in every of her previous two Wimbledon journeys, and in a possible finals preview, she outlasted Elena Rybakina in Berlin every week in the past, saving 4 match factors within the final-set tiebreaker. Like Sinner, she’ll must earn this one: Her draw may characteristic both 2023 champion Marketa Vondrousova, native favourite Emma Raducanu or Nottingham champion McCartney Kessler within the third spherical, two-time semifinalist Elina Svitolina within the fourth, Keys within the quarterfinals and 2024 finalist Jasmine Paolini within the semis. That is a tough highway, however Sabalenka is the surest factor on the ladies’s tour.
Novak Djokovic
ESPN BET odds: +550 | Tennis Summary odds: 21.1%
First potential top-10 opponent: No. 4 Jack Draper (quarterfinals)
In case we wanted a reminder that Djokovic’s requirements stay ridiculously excessive, we obtained it in Paris. In a 2025 season that has featured extra nagging accidents and, at one level, his first three-match dropping streak in over seven years, his run to the French Open semifinals was undeniably encouraging. He gained 4 straight-set matches in a row — he did not must play his approach into type — and took down Alexander Zverev in 4 units earlier than falling to Sinner within the semis. And even towards Sinner, he by no means misplaced a set by a number of breaks (6-4, 7-5, 7-6). However he was notably emotional as he left the court docket and acknowledged afterward that he is perhaps nearer than ever to retirement. All of us are, I assume.
Emptying his bag of methods however not having the ability to steal even a set from Sinner evidently had him feeling awfully mortal. Getting smoked by Alcaraz in final 12 months’s Wimbledon ultimate (6-2, 6-2, 7-6) in all probability did too. But when the 24-time Slam champion goes to achieve No. 25, it is in all probability going to be on the All England Membership, the place he has lifted the trophy seven instances and has misplaced solely twice since 2017. His draw is difficult — No. 11 Alex De Minaur, a 2024 quarterfinalist, may await within the fourth spherical, adopted by Indian Wells champion Draper (who took a set from Djokovic at Wimbledon again in 2021) within the quarterfinals. However Djokovic would not want many breaks to make it deep into the second week.
Coco Gauff
ESPN BET odds: +550 | Tennis Summary odds: 8.7%
First potential top-10 opponent: No. 8 Iga Swiatek (quarterfinals)
Nonetheless solely 21 years previous, Gauff has already put collectively a Corridor of Fame resume, with two Slam titles, a WTA Finals win in 2024, two different 1000-level titles and a Slam doubles title as nicely. And he or she has carried out this regardless of struggling along with her serve and her forehand at instances — she has clear room for enchancment shifting ahead. Yikes.
She’s nonetheless ready on a Wimbledon breakthrough, although. Her 2019 upset of five-time champion Venus Williams there, as a 15-year-old, was the primary huge second of her profession, however she has gained simply eight whole matches in her previous 4 Wimbledon journeys. And like Sabalenka, the draw did her few favors: Gauff may face a resurgent Sofia Kenin within the third spherical — Kenin upset her within the first spherical right here two years in the past — earlier than assembly Swiatek or Rybakina within the quarterfinals. However even at this early stage in her profession, Gauff has proved an excessive amount of to not be a top-tier favourite.
Elena Rybakina
ESPN BET odds: +550 | Tennis Summary odds: 5.4%
First potential top-10 opponent: No. 8 Iga Swiatek (fourth spherical)
Rybakina is the proverbial big-game participant. Beginning along with her shocking run to the 2022 Wimbledon title, she’s 12-8 in her previous 20 semifinals and 7-5 in her previous 12 finals. She has gained 4 of her previous seven towards Sabalenka, and has break up her previous eight towards Swiatek. Rybakina has handled a great deal of teaching drama over the previous 12 months, and has suffered 4 upset losses towards gamers ranked eightieth or worse. However her A-game stays magnificent.
Rybakina has the best serve of any high participant — she has gained 63% of her service factors this 12 months, probably the most of any top-50 participant — and over the previous three years she’s 16-2 at Wimbledon. She may need to beat Swiatek within the fourth spherical and Gauff within the quarters, however the betting odds make her a co-favorite with Gauff to achieve the finals from the underside half of the draw.
Solely want a number of breaks
Iga Swiatek
ESPN BET odds: +850 | Tennis Summary odds: 8.4%
First potential top-10 opponent: No. 2 Coco Gauff (quarterfinals)
It has been an odd 12 months for the five-time Slam champion, who fell to No. 8 within the WTA rankings earlier than this week’s sturdy displaying at Dangerous Homburg. (Swiatek will play Jessica Pegula within the finals, and has risen again to fourth.) Swiatek has already misplaced 10 matches this 12 months — greater than she misplaced in all of 2024 — and did not win the French Open for the primary time since 2021. Her run at Dangerous Homburg was encouraging, however Wimbledon is the one Slam during which she has by no means reached not less than the semis. With Rybakina and Gauff standing in her approach, it will likely be a shock if her first semi comes this 12 months.
Jack Draper
ESPN BET odds: +1600 | Tennis Summary odds: 1.9%
First potential top-10 opponent: No. 6 Novak Djokovic (quarterfinals)
On the one hand, the 23-year-old has loved a breakthrough season, constructing off of his 2024 US Open semifinal run by storming to the Indian Wells title, reaching two different finals and surging to No. 4 on the earth.
However, he is 2-3 all time at Wimbledon, his residence Slam, and solely 20-14 on grass. Draper did beat Alcaraz at Queen’s Membership final 12 months, and he made a stable semifinal run there this 12 months, however with smoking-hot Alexander Bublik probably awaiting within the third spherical and Djokovic within the quarters, the draw didn’t do him any favors.
Madison Keys
ESPN BET odds: +1200 | Tennis Summary odds: 3.0%
First potential top-10 opponent: No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka (quarterfinals)
The Australian Open champion reached a career-high No. 5 rating the week after her thirtieth birthday, and she or he’s 11-1 in Slams this season after a French Open quarterfinal run. Keys has reached two Wimbledon quarterfinals and is the projected favourite to achieve a quarterfinal towards Sabalenka. However she dropped her previous two grass-court matches in straight units towards grass-court specialists Tatjana Maria and Marketa Vondrousova.
Marketa Vondrousova
ESPN BET odds: +1600 | Tennis Summary odds: 2.2%
First potential top-10 opponent: No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka (third spherical)
Vondrousova endured fairly the rise-and-fall arc after profitable Wimbledon in 2023. She was upset within the first spherical final 12 months, then missed most of seven months with damage. She misplaced 5 of her first 11 matches of 2025, too, however beat Keys, Diana Shnaider, Ons Jabeur and Sabalenka (in straight units, no much less) on the way in which to the Berlin title on grass. Nonetheless ranked solely 73rd, Vondrousova drew McCartney Kessler within the first spherical, probably adopted by Raducanu and Sabalenka from there. That is a tough draw, however the unorthodox lefty will probably be a tricky out.
Others: Mirra Andreeva (+1200), Qinwen Zheng (+1800), Jasmine Paolini (+2200), Jessica Pegula (+2200), Alexander Zverev (+2500)
They love Wimbledon (and/or grass courts)
Elina Svitolina
ESPN BET odds: +3300 | Tennis Summary odds: 3.4%
First potential top-10 opponent: No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka (fourth spherical)
The 30-year-old has reestablished a cruising altitude since her post-maternity comeback in 2023, reaching 5 quarterfinals in her previous 9 Slams. Svitolina is 9-2 at Wimbledon in that span, too. She is comparatively upset-proof at this level — over the previous 12 months, she’s 3-7 towards top-five opponents however 39-9 (.813 win proportion) towards everybody else — and she or he’s a projected favourite to achieve the spherical of 16 towards, probably, Sabalenka.
ESPN BET odds: +3300 | Tennis Summary odds: 1.5%
First potential top-10 opponent: No. 9 Daniil Medvedev (fourth spherical)
We have talked rather a lot about robust attracts up to now, however Fritz in all probability appreciated his draw a very good quantity. Granted, it options big-serving Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard within the first spherical and will current No. 26 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (his semifinal opponent this week at Eastbourne) within the third and Daniil Medvedev within the fourth. However Fritz landed in Alexander Zverev’s quarter, and he is 5-0 towards Zverev over the previous 12 months. If Fritz survives tough early assessments, he is in the appropriate quarter for an enormous run.
Alexander Bublik
ESPN BET odds: +3300 | Tennis Summary odds: 0.7%
First potential top-10 opponent: No. 4 Jack Draper (third spherical)
Evidently, falling out of the ATP high 50 was a wakeup name for the enigmatic Bublik, who gained 9 of his previous 11 matches in clay-court season, then beat 4 straight top-25 opponents, together with Sinner and Medvedev, to win at Halle on grass final week. He’s able to beating, or dropping to, anybody within the area, and he might be a serious third-round impediment for Draper in what is perhaps probably the most fascinating potential first-week match within the males’s draw.
ESPN BET odds: +4000 | Tennis Summary odds: 0.5%
First potential top-10 opponent: No. 10 Emma Navarro (third spherical)
One of many best doubles gamers of the period (seven Slam doubles titles), Krejcikova is all the time an unpredictable presence in a singles draw. In her previous 12 Slams, she has gained solely 20 matches, however seven got here throughout final 12 months’s Wimbledon run. She has performed solely six matches this 12 months attributable to damage and needed to withdraw at Eastbourne this week attributable to a thigh subject. Her odds of an enormous run aren’t nice, but when she generates any momentum, look out.
Lorenzo Musetti
ESPN BET odds: +5000 | Tennis Summary odds: 3.3%
First potential top-10 opponent: No. 10 Ben Shelton (fourth spherical)
It has been a quietly unbelievable 52 weeks for the 23-year-old Italian. Musetti has reached the semifinals of two of his previous 4 Slams — Wimbledon final 12 months, French Open this 12 months — and made the semis or higher in three straight 1000-level occasions. In his previous 5 tournaments, he has misplaced solely to Djokovic, Alcaraz or Draper. Touchdown in Sinner’s quarter wasn’t sort, however Musetti is a projected favourite to achieve the quarterfinals, not less than.
Others: Daniil Medvedev (2023-24 semifinalist, +3300), Jelena Ostapenko (2024 quarterfinalist, +3300), Jiri Lehecka (+4000), Ons Jabeur (2022-23 finalist, +5000), Emma Navarro (2024 quarterfinalist, +5000), Alex de Minaur (2024 quarterfinalist, +5000), Ekaterina Alexandrova (+5000), Hubert Hurkacz (2021 semifinalist, +6600), Tommy Paul (2024 quarterfinalist, +6600), Donna Vekic (2024 semifinalist, 100-1), Tatjana Maria (2022 semifinalist, 100-1), Denis Shapovalov (2021 semifinalist, 100-1), Grigor Dimitrov (2014 semifinalist, 100-1), Cameron Norrie (2022 semifinalist, 300-1), Lulu Solar (2024 quarterfinalist, 300-1), Marin Cilic (2017 semifinalist, 400-1), Matteo Berrettini (2021 finalist), Petra Kvitova (2011 and 2014 champion)
Ready for a surge
ESPN BET odds: +4000 | Tennis Summary odds: 0.2%
First potential top-10 opponent: No. 5 Qinwen Zheng (second spherical)
In Tennis Summary’s Elo rankings — that are based mostly on efficiency high quality, not factors acquired at tournaments — Naomi Osaka is as much as thirty first on the earth. That is beneath her pre-motherhood requirements, clearly, however it’s fairly good. However as a result of Slams are price so many WTA rankings factors, and since she will be able to’t get a very good Slam draw to avoid wasting her life, she’s solely 56th within the rankings that matter.
In every of her previous six Slams, Osaka needed to face a top-20 opponent by the second spherical. She almost beat Swiatek on the 2024 French Open, then pummeled No. 10 Jelena Ostapenko within the US Open solely to run right into a torrid former top-10er, Karolina Muchova, within the subsequent spherical. She topped Muchova on the Australian Open however needed to pull out of the subsequent spherical with damage. She took Paula Badosa deep into the third set on the French Open however misplaced.
Was her Wimbledon draw any kinder? Probably not. She’ll in all probability must face No. 5 Qinwen Zheng within the second spherical, and whereas she has principally break up 9 units all time with Zheng, she misplaced their solely assembly on grass (which has by no means been her greatest floor). The hunt for a breakthrough will probably proceed into the hard-court season.
Others: Emma Raducanu (+5000), Karolina Muchova (+5000), Holger Rune (+6600)
American sleepers
ESPN BET odds: +2500 | Tennis Summary odds: 2.0%
First potential top-10 opponent: No. 4 Jasmine Paolini (fourth spherical)
After taking most of 2023 off from the tour, Anisimova climbed again into the highest 40 in 2024 and has surged in 2025. She scored her first 1000-level title in Doha, and she or he enters Wimbledon having gained 9 of her previous 11 matches (six of eight on grass). With heavy groundstrokes and an above-average return, she might be a menace in Paolini’s quarter, not less than if she survives a tough first-round matchup with Yulia Putintseva.
Ben Shelton
ESPN BET odds: +5000 | Tennis Summary odds: <0.1%
First potential top-10 opponent: No. 7 Lorenzo Musetti (fourth spherical)
It is easy to assume, “Huge serve? Good on grass!” However that is a little bit of an outdated impression, and the 22-year-old Shelton has but to resolve the floor: He is simply 8-10 all time on grass, and he enters Wimbledon having misplaced three matches in a row. Nonetheless, a round-of-16 run at Wimbledon in 2024 hints at potential, and a hypothetical fourth-round matchup with Musetti (with the winner dealing with Sinner) can be completely dynamite.
Others: Sofia Kenin (100-1), Ashlyn Krueger (100-1), Frances Tiafoe (100-1), McCartney Kessler (200-1)
The children
ESPN BET odds: +6600 | Tennis Summary odds: <0.1%
First potential top-10 opponent: No. 4 Jack Draper (fourth spherical)
The large-hitting 19-year-old was one of many few males who really took benefit of Jannik Sinner’s three-month spring suspension, charging previous Fritz and Djokovic to win the 1000-level Miami title. He has gone simply 8-7 since then (2-2 on grass), however the fundamentals of his recreation are sturdy, and a semi-friendly draw would possibly give him a good shot at a run to not less than the fourth spherical.
ESPN BET odds: 300-1 | Tennis Summary odds: <0.1%
First potential top-10 opponent: No. 8 Holger Rune (second spherical)
He won’t have the big-hitting upside of fellow youngsters Mensik or Joao Fonseca, however his lefty accuracy and infrequently glorious service return make him a tough out. And he is surprisingly glorious towards high gamers — he is solely 17-16 in 2025, however is 3-1 towards top-10 opponents with wins over Medvedev (Australian Open), Zverev (Acapulco) and, on grass, Shelton (Mallorca). He may get an opportunity at a fourth top-10 win towards Rune within the second spherical.
Others: Diana Shnaider (+5000), Marta Kostyuk (+6600), Linda Noskova (+6600), Joao Fonseca (100-1), Gabriel Diallo (100-1), Clara Tauson (100-1)
