Is it truly within their grasp? Arsenal commence the concluding phase of the 2025/26 Premier League campaign holding the advantage, amassing 70 points from 31 fixtures. Yet, as Manchester City (61 pts, 30 encounters played) remain a threat and an upcoming journey to the Etihad Stadium looms, the culmination might still seem distant for Mikel Arteta.
Subsequent to Arsenal’s devastating EFL Cup Final defeat, the pertinent query is if their momentum is poised to unravel or if this collective has at last cultivated a decisive edge.
The Pivotal Tally for Triumph
Across the preceding half-decade, the mean point accumulation for the Premier League champion has stood at 89 points.
| Season | Champions | Points | Runners-up |
| 2024/25 | Liverpool | 84 | Arsenal (74) |
| 2023/24 | Man City | 91 | Arsenal (89) |
| 2022/23 | Man City | 89 | Arsenal (84) |
| 2021/22 | Man City | 93 | Liverpool (92) |
| 2020/21 | Man City | 86 | Man Utd (74) |
The 2026 Prediction: Arsenal require 16 points from their concluding seven fixtures to reach 86 – a sum that would have secured the league title in the previous year. City possess the capability to attain 85.
1. Arsenal against Bournemouth | Emirates Arena | Saturday, April 11
The Scenario: The initial Premier League fixture following the international pause. Arsenal needs to commence vigorously to expunge the recollection of their Wembley defeat.
- Initial Encounter: Arsenal secured a thrilling 3-2 victory at the Vitality in January, with Declan Rice netting two goals.
- The Hazard: Bournemouth are comfortably positioned in the middle of the table, competing without any discernible pressure.
- Home Performance: Arsenal has triumphed in 12 out of 15 home fixtures this season, achieving an average of 2.4 goals per game at the Emirates.
2. Manchester City against Arsenal | Etihad Arena | Sunday, April 19
The Scenario: The pivotal “Championship Showdown.” Should City secure victory in their outstanding match and overcome Arsenal at this venue, the points difference would essentially disappear.
- Initial Encounter: A nail-biting 1-1 stalemate at the Emirates during September.
- The “Haaland” Influence: Erling Haaland has found the net in three of his previous four matches facing Arsenal.
- Strategic Contest: City’s Nico O’Reilly dismantled Arsenal’s midfield during the League Cup Final. Arteta faces a choice: maintain his offensive 4-3-3 formation or switch back to a defensive double-pivot for enhanced security.
3. Arsenal against Newcastle United | Emirates Arena | Saturday, April 25
The Scenario: Newcastle are battling to rescue their campaign following a severe Champions League defeat and historically enjoy disrupting the Gunners’ momentum.
- Initial Encounter: Arsenal secured a 2-1 victory at St. James’ Park in September.
- Crucial Metric: Should Arsenal concede points at the Etihad, this fixture transforms into a “mandatory victory” amidst immense pressure.
4. West Ham against Arsenal | London Arena | Saturday, May 9
The Scenario: A London rivalry opposing a squad struggling for survival. As highlighted in our relegation analysis, West Ham is in dire straits.
- The Competition: Arsenal triumphed 2-0 in the earlier fixture, yet the Hammers are expected to be tenacious and challenging to overcome on their home turf amidst a relegation struggle.
- The “Eze” Monitoring: Eberechi Eze was absent from England duty this week due to a calf injury – Arsenal’s inventive play diminishes considerably in his absence from the squad.
5. Crystal Palace against Arsenal | Selhurst Ground | Sunday, May 24
The Scenario: The concluding day. If the championship contest extends to the very end, Selhurst Park represents the least desirable destination for Arsenal.
- Initial Encounter: Arsenal clinched a 1-0 victory in a cautious match during October.
- The Situation: Should Arsenal maintain a lead of two points or fewer, the intensity of an away fixture on the concluding day will push their composure to its absolute threshold.
Arsenal possess a more “favorable” closing schedule compared to Manchester City, who are still slated to confront Chelsea and Liverpool in April. Nevertheless, the mental burden associated with the Etihad confrontation is immense. Our forecast suggests Arsenal will achieve a draw against City but emerge victorious in their remaining six fixtures, culminating with 89 points – thus, at last, concluding the 22-year barren spell.
Place Your Wager
Frequently Asked Questions: Arsenal Championship Pursuit 2026
Q: What was the last occasion Arsenal secured the Premier League? A: Arsenal’s most recent title triumph occurred during the 2003/04 “Invincibles” campaign.
Q: Who stands as Arsenal’s leading goal-scorer in 2025/26? A: Viktor Gyökeres has registered 11 league goals this term.
Q: Is goal difference significant? A: Indeed. Arsenal presently holds a +39 GD versus City’s +32. This functions as an “additional point” within a closely contested championship battle.