In a dynamic real estate landscape often framed by political narratives, the true drivers of American migration and capital allocation are rooted in deeper economic realities. Far from a narrative of urban exodus, a more nuanced market trend is emerging: the strategic multiplication of wealth and the expansion of the American real estate footprint into high-growth, business-friendly secondary markets.
Key Takeaways:
- **Wealth Multiplication, Not Just Migration:** High-net-worth individuals are increasingly diversifying their residential portfolios, acquiring multiple homes across different states. This strategy allows them to leverage diverse regional economic advantages and tax benefits, rather than simply fleeing primary metros.
- **Economic Fundamentals Drive Capital Flow:** State and local policies, particularly regarding tax burdens, regulatory environments, and investments in infrastructure and job creation, are paramount. Areas with lower operational costs for businesses and residents, coupled with robust job markets in sectors like tech and manufacturing, are attracting significant capital.
- **Rise of Secondary & Inland Hubs:** While traditional luxury enclaves continue to thrive, burgeoning inland cities in states like Ohio, Alabama, and the Carolinas are gaining prominence as attractive investment destinations. These markets offer compelling returns on investment due to favorable economic conditions, affordability, and strategic corporate commitments.
Ryan Serhant speaks to Fox News Digital at his SoHo headquarters, discussing how city tax policy, sky-high rents and changing buyer habits are driving wealth out of major metros and into growth states like Ohio, Alabama and the Carolinas.
National coverage of American migration routinely focuses on political rhetoric and people fleeing to states like Florida and Texas, but it may be overlooking the core economic realities dictating where families and capital actually settle. This narrative often sensationalizes the “death of the city,” missing the sophisticated investment strategies now defining the residential market.
In an interview with Fox News Digital, SERHANT. founder and CEO Ryan Serhant argued that the missing piece of the migration story boils down to how state policies impact homebuyers’ wallets and quality of life, effectively shaping the total return on investment for real estate assets. Rather than a total collapse of major metros, Serhant suggests, capital is strategically “stretching” into secondary markets where better job growth, lower tax burdens, and strong infrastructure offer a more compelling value proposition and greater long-term appreciation potential.
“I think it’s a bit overblown that wealth is migrating out of major American cities. I think that people aren’t necessarily moving as much as they are multiplying,” Serhant told Fox News Digital, highlighting a crucial shift in investor behavior. “We now have more clients that have multiple homes than at any other point in my career. And they all want ease of access to great cities without necessarily maybe paying to be in the center. This strategy reflects a desire for portfolio diversification and geographic arbitrage, where investors seek to optimize for lifestyle, tax efficiency, and capital growth simultaneously.”
“If you look at the American housing market just through the news media, you would think that the American city is over, the metropolis is dead, and people are scattering. This view, however, oversimplifies complex market dynamics,” he continued. “What you actually see is wealth multiplying to the benefit of both the individuals and the real estate assets. Markets have actually just become bigger, extending beyond traditional urban cores. People are multiplying their assets, investing strategically in diverse locations to maximize their real estate footprint and adapt to evolving economic conditions. It’s not so much ‘people escaping’ as it is people optimizing their asset allocation.”
THE U.S. CITIES WHERE HOME PRICES ARE FALLING THE FASTEST
Serhant’s brokerage, SERHANT., has mirrored these shifting capital flows, recently expanding into Texas and Colorado, marking its expansion into its 17th state. Beyond his New York City home base, the firm maintains a strong presence in major luxury enclaves in South Florida, such as Palm Beach and Miami, where luxury prices have climbed sharply due to inbound wealth and favorable tax structures. The brokerage also operates in Delray Beach, Boca Raton, and Fort Lauderdale, capitalizing on the robust demand in these sunshine-state markets.
SERHANT. founder and CEO Ryan Serhant speaks to Fox News Digital on Friday, Sept. 4, 2026 at the brokerage’s SoHo office in New York City.(Nikolas Lanum/Fox News Digital / FOXBusiness)
At the same time, Serhant pointed to regional migration patterns showing significant growth in inland hubs, including Huntsville, Alabama. These emerging markets offer lower entry costs and strong potential for capital appreciation, driven by new economic anchors and a more favorable cost of living.
According to U.S. Census estimates, Texas and Florida were the nation’s top two states for numeric population growth from 2024 to 2025, underscoring their appeal. However, a number of secondary markets have also posted strong gains, often overlooked by mainstream media. The Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia metro area ranked fifth nationally for numeric population growth from 2024 to 2025, while the city of Huntsville, Alabama, has grown 8.7% since 2020. These figures reveal a broader decentralization of economic opportunity and residential demand.
“While New York did lose about 12,000 residents last year, this isn’t necessarily a crisis, but it’s definitely a warning sign that policymakers need to heed,” Serhant said, alluding to the impact of local governance and tax policy on retaining high-income residents and businesses. “And I also think people would be surprised to know that Florida… I think actually is the No. 8 state in terms of domestic net migration last year, bumped out by Alabama. This highlights the fierce competition among states for talent and capital, where even established growth states face challenges from rapidly ascending alternatives.”
“You want to know a market I think people will be talking about in five years? I think it’s Huntsville, Alabama. I think Huntsville, Alabama, and I think Central Ohio and Charlotte, North Carolina, are three markets that investors are paying a lot of attention to right now that more people should be talking about,” he added, providing a clear investment thesis for early movers.
“If I had to throw a dart on where I think the epicenter of the country might be eventually, I might think about coastal erosion and I might go dead center.”
The strategic allure of states like Ohio is further evidenced by significant corporate commitments. AWS has pledged an additional $10 billion toward data center infrastructure in Ohio, bringing its total planned investment in the state to more than $23 billion by 2030. Similarly, Intel broke ground on its more than $28 billion semiconductor campus in New Albany, Ohio, representing the single largest private-sector investment in state history. While Intel has since slowed construction, with the first factory now expected to begin operations between 2030 and 2031, these investments signal long-term economic vitality and job creation, attracting both skilled labor and ancillary businesses. This substantial capital injection acts as a powerful catalyst for regional real estate markets, driving demand for both commercial and residential properties.
“You go to Ohio and you look around, and there are more very expensive cars than you’ll see in South Beach. But no one talks about it… This anecdotal observation underscores the quiet accumulation of wealth and investment in these emerging hubs,” Serhant noted. “Again, it’s not the fall of the American city; it’s the stretch of what it means to be a great American dream city, and there’s not going to be less of them, there’s just going to be more, diversifying the landscape of opportunity across the country.”
High-earning households are treating residential real estate selection similarly to sophisticated portfolio management, according to Serhant. He said some buyers are acquiring multiple homes to secure geographic flexibility, capture regional tax benefits, and maintain access to major economic centers without shouldering full-time downtown living costs. This strategy reflects a pragmatic approach to wealth management, where real estate is viewed as a dynamic asset class capable of delivering multiple returns – from capital appreciation and rental income to tax advantages and lifestyle flexibility.
Serhant founder and CEO Ryan Serhant discusses the housing market under President Donald Trump on ‘The Claman Countdown.’
“Why own one stock if you can own an ETF? Why own one home if you could own a couple? There’s only so many of them. And they’re not making any more land as far as I know,” he said, emphasizing the finite nature of real estate and the benefits of diversification within this asset class. This approach is particularly attractive in an inflationary environment, where real assets can serve as a hedge against currency devaluation.
RYAN SERHANT EXPOSES AMERICA’S NEW REAL ESTATE REALITY AND THE BIGGEST HOUSING SHIFT IN 50 YEARS
“Taxes get headlines. New governance policies get headlines, and it’s easy to sell against fear. This can create short-term market volatility and influence migration patterns,” Serhant expanded. “To be honest, our markets south of New York have benefited greatly from the COVID policies that [Gov. Andrew] Cuomo instilled across New York State and the policies that [Mayor Zohran] Mamdani is now putting into place in New York City. While I don’t necessarily think they’re to the detriment of New York long-term, as I believe New York is irreplaceable, it’s not necessarily invincible. Policies that increase the cost of doing business or living can certainly prompt a reassessment of domicile for both individuals and corporations.”
“And so, just like companies do, if you have restrictions on employees in one company, really smart people at that company might say, ‘You know what? Maybe I’ll look for other jobs. Where can I have the greatest career?’ And they look at other companies. Those companies are states. American citizens are employees at the end of the day,” he posited, drawing a direct parallel between corporate strategy and individual decision-making. “What you should be thinking about is, how do I create the greatest business for people to come and work? Instead of — how do I take from everyone who’s here to maybe the betterment of the current market environment? This question lies at the heart of state fiscal policy and long-term economic competitiveness.”
“And I think New York, I think Seattle, I think a lot of parts of California are taking a short-term view on state growth. This focus on immediate electoral cycles rather than sustainable economic development can result in policies that inadvertently deter investment and talent,” Serhant concluded, expressing frustration with what he perceives as a lack of foresight in some major metropolitan areas.
Douglas Elliman agent Michelle Griffith speaks to Fox News Digital about latest developments around NYC’s secondary home taxes and other ‘crisis’ indicators.
He also argued that municipal leaders focused on election-cycle politics rather than long-term growth plans risk pushing away the next generation of business creators and innovators, ultimately impacting the economic vibrancy and future tax base of their cities. The implementation of “secondary home taxes” or increased property levies, while potentially generating short-term revenue, could have adverse effects on long-term investment in urban real estate.
The CEO stated, “I just think about the future far more than I think current politicians who are very, very focused on the next election do. And I think if you create an environment that provides less jobs, less education, and worse security and safety for tomorrow’s great entrepreneur or intrapreneur, you’re eroding the very foundation of future prosperity and asset values.”
Market Impact:
The emerging trends highlighted by Serhant signal a significant recalibration of real estate investment strategies and capital flows across the U.S. For investors, this means a compelling case for diversifying portfolios beyond traditional coastal hubs, with a keen eye on burgeoning secondary and inland markets offering strong economic fundamentals and attractive yields. Developers will need to adapt to localized demand, focusing on mixed-use projects and infrastructure in these growth areas. Policymakers in established metros face increasing pressure to recalibrate tax policies and regulatory environments to retain high-net-worth residents and businesses, lest they risk further capital flight. Conversely, leaders in growth states have an opportunity to reinforce their competitive advantages through strategic investments in education, infrastructure, and business-friendly policies. Ultimately, this geographic rebalancing will likely lead to a more distributed and resilient national real estate market, but it also portends intensified competition among states for talent, investment, and economic leadership.
Key Takeaways:
- Capital Migration & Fiscal Arbitrage:High-net-worth individuals and businesses are increasingly leveraging geographic flexibility to seek states with more favorable fiscal policies, lower tax burdens, and a reduced cost of living, leading to a significant migration of wealth and talent from traditional coastal hubs.
- The “Wallet and Heart” Investment Thesis:Beyond pure financial incentives, emerging markets in states like Ohio, Alabama, and North Carolina are attracting investment by balancing affordability with robust community appeal, including public infrastructure, quality education, and perceived security, appealing to both economic and lifestyle preferences.
- Reshaping America’s Economic Geography:The accelerating trend of remote work and a hyper-connected global economy are diminishing the traditional gravitational pull of established urban centers, potentially shifting the nation’s economic epicenter inland and creating new growth opportunities in previously overlooked markets.
In an evolving landscape where economic competitiveness is increasingly dictated by capital mobility and individual choice, real estate mogul Ryan Serhant offers a compelling thesis on the shifting tides of American demographics and investment. Speaking with Fox News Digital, Serhant argued that the traditional allure of high-cost, high-tax coastal states is diminishing, paving the way for inland states like Ohio, Alabama, and North Carolina to emerge as new epicenters for growth and investment. This perspective, rich with implications for real estate valuations, state fiscal policies, and the broader macroeconomic outlook, underscores a fundamental reevaluation of what drives economic prosperity in the 21st century.
“There’s this continued great migration in our country, where people are moving to states where it’s fiscally responsible to live there and fiscally good for them to have their businesses,” Serhant stated, highlighting a critical market dynamic. This isn’t just about individuals seeking cheaper housing; it’s a strategic calculus undertaken by high-earners and investors. The burgeoning trend of remote work, amplified by the pandemic, has decoupled employment from geography for a significant segment of the workforce. This newfound flexibility allows for a form of “fiscal arbitrage,” where individuals and businesses can optimize their tax burden and cost of living by relocating to states with more favorable economic environments. For states like New York and California, grappling with high income taxes, property taxes, and a high cost of regulatory compliance, this outflow represents a potential erosion of their tax base and human capital, impacting long-term economic vitality and public service funding.
Serhant’s observation that “that person’s not moving, their parents move” illustrates a key intergenerational aspect of this migration. As individuals and families seek better financial footing and quality of life, they often draw extended family with them, creating a compounding effect on population growth and economic activity in destination states. This familial magnet reinforces the demographic shift, translating into increased demand for housing, local services, and consumer goods in these emerging markets. For investors, this signifies robust opportunities in residential real estate, retail development, and service industries that cater to a growing, affluent population.
The core of Serhant’s argument resonates with the notion that in today’s hyper-connected economy, capital, and by extension, high-earning individuals, possess unprecedented geographic flexibility. “Investors and people who have the ability to move are now thinking about stretched markets. They don’t necessarily need to come to your city for a job. They don’t necessarily need to go to that state for grade schooling,” he explained. This disintermediation of traditional economic linkages means that investment decisions are less tied to physical proximity to established corporate headquarters and more to a holistic assessment of economic efficiency and quality of life. The speed at which capital can move, described as “milliseconds” in a globalized economy, means states and localities must be agile in their policy responses. Those clinging to “1997” economic models risk being left behind, as their historical advantages are rapidly eroded by competitive pressures and changing market dynamics.
For states like Ohio, Alabama, and North Carolina, attracting this capital and talent isn’t merely about offering lower taxes; it’s about crafting a compelling value proposition that appeals to both the “wallet” and the “heart.” Serhant emphasized this dual consideration: “How do we keep quality of housing and affordability front of mind, but also with their heart? What do you do on the nights and on the weekends? How easy is it to get here and have our family come and stay? And then they think about public infrastructure, they think about education, and they think about security.” This holistic approach acknowledges that modern migrants, particularly those with significant economic optionality, prioritize a comprehensive lifestyle package. Investment in public infrastructure (transportation, utilities), high-quality educational systems, and strong community safety are not merely social goods but critical economic attractors, influencing real estate values, business investment, and long-term population retention. States that can demonstrate a commitment to these foundational elements, alongside fiscal prudence, position themselves as superior destinations for both human and financial capital.

Serhant spoke extensively with Fox News Digital about his bullish stance on the Ohio, Carolinas and Alabama real estate markets.(Nikolas Lanum/Fox News Digital / FOXBusiness)
Looking ahead, Serhant’s prediction of a shifting “center of gravity” in American real estate toward business-friendly inland states, characterized by abundant land and infrastructure capacity, offers a potent vision for future market trends. His speculative musing about “coastal erosion” – potentially referencing both literal climate risks and metaphoric economic decay for unprepared coastal regions – and a move “dead center” highlights a long-term investment strategy focused on resilience, growth potential, and diversification away from traditionally overheated markets. The suggestion of opening a SERHANT. office in Ohio underscores a belief in the tangible, actionable opportunities present in these markets, signaling potential for sustained residential and commercial real estate appreciation as these regions mature into new economic powerhouses.
Market Impact:
Serhant’s insights carry significant implications across various market segments. For residential real estate investors, the identified states (OH, AL, NC) present opportunities for appreciating asset values, strong rental yields, and robust demand as population inflows continue. Commercial real estate developers should anticipate increased demand for office space (albeit potentially hybridized), retail, and industrial properties to support growing populations and businesses. State and municipal bond markets may see shifts as investor confidence follows economic growth, potentially improving credit profiles for “winning” states and challenging those experiencing capital flight. Businesses, particularly those in the tech, finance, and professional services sectors, will increasingly weigh state fiscal policy, talent pools, and quality of life metrics when making relocation or expansion decisions, impacting labor markets and regional GDP growth. Finally, traditional economic hubs must innovate their value propositions, potentially through tax reform, infrastructure investment, or enhanced public services, to stem the outflow of human and financial capital and remain competitive in this dynamic environment.
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